2.3.1. Sources Of Electricity As shown in Table 2-2, non-OECD countries currently use more oil for electricity than OECD countries. It is projected that the amount of oil used to produce electricity in non-OECD countries will nearly double in 2015, while in OECD countries it will increase only slightly. While there are eight times as many people in non-OECD countries, they consume relatively the same amount of energy for electricity as OECD countries. In addition, non-OECD countries consume more natural gas and by 2015 will also consume more coal than OECD countries. Table 2-2 Global Energy for Electricity Generatioi 23.2. Findings In summary it was found that developing countries are growing rapidly yet consume nearly the same amount of energy as developed countries. Supplies of all fuels are plentiful and will continue to be throughout the forecast period. In addition, fuel prices will remain stable through 2015. Electricity usage will continue to increase and there will be major changes in the electric power industry. Despite substitution of natural gas for coal in many uses, and increasing use of renewables, carbon emissions will increase 54% during the forecast period. The use of solar energy is growing, but will remain a very small portion of renewable fuels. 2.4. Market Segment Definition Market data were used in the analysis to determine the revenue stream associated with a space solar power system. The revenue calculation considers price (which is determined based on the price of competing energy sources in a given region) and quantity (which is determined based on total energy demand for a given region and on the market penetration of space solar power in that region). (The calculation also considers non-monetary benefits such as pollution avoided, discussed below.) Table 2-3 Target Market Types
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